{"id":885,"date":"2006-04-04T11:22:32","date_gmt":"2006-04-04T03:22:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.quezon.ph\/blog\/?p=885"},"modified":"2015-10-26T18:46:35","modified_gmt":"2015-10-26T10:46:35","slug":"survey-surprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.quezon.ph\/2006\/04\/04\/survey-surprise\/","title":{"rendered":"Survey surprise"},"content":{"rendered":"
Tweet<\/a><\/div>\n

Malaya trumpets One of 2 wants GMA out via people power<\/a>. The PCIJ blog<\/a> does some quick analysis. Here is the report of the Social Weather Stations:<\/p>\n

\"Apr<\/a><\/p>\n

The survey, released on April 3<\/a>, covers the First Quarter of the year, and was taken in the aftermath of the proclamation of a state of national emergency (March 8-14). The survey say responses to the following questions were as follows:<\/p>\n

Q. “If President Arroyo resigns, it will be good for the country.”<\/strong>
\nA. (Nationwide)<\/p>\n

In December, 2005<\/span>
\nAgree 58% (61% NCR, 59% Balance of Luzon, 50% Visayas, 60% Mindanao; 59% Class ABC, 56% Class D, 60% Class E)
\nDisagree 17% (21% NCR, 18% Balance of Luzon, 17% Visayas, 12% Mindanao; 24% Class ABC, 17% Class D, 15% Class E)
\nUndecided 22%<\/p>\n

In the First Quarter of 2006<\/span>
\nAgree 44% (56% NCR, 44% Balance of Luzon, 35% Visayas, 45% Mindanao; 44% Class ABC, 42% Class D, 50% Class E)
\nDisagree 23% (14% NCR,\u00c3\u201a\u00c2\u00a0 26% Balance of Luzon, 33% Visayas, 14% Mindanao; 17% Class ABC, 26% Class D, 18% Class E)
\nUndecided 29%<\/p>\n

Q. “It is good for the country if PGMA will be removed by means of a People Power.”<\/strong>
\nA. (Nationwide)
\nAgree 48% (55% in NCR, 44% Balance of Luzon, 42% Visayas, 57% Mindanao; 54% Class ABC, 47% Class D,\u00c3\u201a\u00c2\u00a0 49% Class E)
\nDisagree 27% (22% NCR, 30% Balance of Luzon, 39% Visayas, 13% Mindanao; 29% Class ABC, 27% Class D, 26% Class E)
\nUndecided 21%<\/p>\n

Q. “It is good for the country if PGMA will be removed by means of a military coup.”<\/strong>
\nA. (Nationwide)
\nAgree 36% (43% NCR, 36% Balance of Luzon, 32% Visayas, 35% Mindanao; 37% Class ABC, 37% Class D, 34% Class E)
\nDisagree 35% (33% NCR, 36% Balance of Luzon, 46% Visayas, 26% Mindanao; 34% ABC, 25% D, 36% E)
\nUndecided 23%<\/p>\n

Q. “The government was right in deciding last February 24 to prohibit rallies against the Arroyo administration.”<\/strong>
\nA. (Nationwide)
\nAgree 29%
\nDisagree 45%
\nUndecided 20%<\/p>\n

What can be gleaned? Resignation is sinking as an option (where it was once a majority position), while people power is rising as a preference; there is surprising minority support for a coup. Only a plurality supports either people power or a coup, but it is a plurality twice as broad as opposition to it. There is a fairly large segment of the population (hovering at roughly 20-25%) that is undecided. The President basically is holding off hostile NCR-Luzon and Mindanao with the Visayas, where support for her, however, has been steadily shrinking. The President’s constituency, nationwide, continues to hold steady at about 25-35% nationwide.
\nToday’s headlines:<\/p>\n

Borra says cheating marred 2004 polls: Fraud not ‘massive,’ Senate body told <\/a>(Inquirer)<\/p>\n

Poll exec admits massive fraud in 2004 elections<\/a> (Daily Tribune)<\/p>\n

GMA election must be respected, Borra says<\/a> (Manila Standard-Today)<\/p>\n

In amendments news:<\/p>\n

ChaCha train goes full steam in July, says De Venecia<\/a>: there’s only one question: unicameral or not? If approved, then Congress becomes an interim parliament, and proceeds with further constitutional overhaul.<\/p>\n

Opposition says Palace’s go-to-court dare a trap<\/a>
\nOppositionist admits signature drive legal<\/a><\/p>\n

“Govt staff can’t do Cha-cha campaign<\/a>“<\/p>\n

For Charter-change plebiscite: P6.5B is needed, DBM has P2.6B<\/a><\/p>\n

Davao Officials Denounce Malaca\u00f1ang for IRA-Cha-cha Scheme<\/a> (Davao Today)<\/p>\n

In other news, Beltran’s arraignment postponed to May 29<\/a> (or: how to keep someone in jail long after you should have been able to prove your case).<\/p>\n

Arroyo backs fixed terms for AFP, PNP chiefs: To insulate them from politics<\/a> (conveniently, if Gen. Senga gets a full, fixed term, he’ll probably be extended as AFP Chief of Staff, which postpones Gen. Esperon’s inevitable succession to the position, which supposedly might further fragment the military).<\/p>\n

The most unpleasant day of the year rescheduled: Income tax filing deadline set April 17<\/a>
\nIn Thailand, the Nation<\/em> says, Election results are a rude wake-up call for Thaksin<\/a>. It seems the boycott call worked. Looking forward, the Nation makes a familiar (to Filipinos) demand:
\nNo reconciliation without justice<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Simple rules for writing a Palace statement<\/a>:<\/p>\n

1. Deny everything
\n2. Concede nothing
\n3. White is black and black is white
\n4. Describe the enemy the way the enemy describes you<\/p>\n

In the punditocracy, Rene Azurin<\/a>, a professor in the University of the Philippines, and who was part of the minority in the Constitutional Commission for Charter Change, explains his opposition to the parliamentary system.<\/p>\n

The graduation season has two beautiful examples of parents writing to their children: Connie Veneracion<\/a> to her daughter and Bong Austero<\/a> to his son.<\/p>\n

The blogosphere has\u00a0Vincula<\/a> describing what’s needed when one prepares to make oral arguments before the Supreme Court: wisdom, inspiration, but also a sturdy bladder.<\/p>\n

Ellen Tordesillas<\/a> posts a manifesto writers including myself and she, signed.<\/p>\n

Philippine Commentary<\/a> continues his crusade for a revision of what Edsa II was about. I think he’s only partially right. It was the Second Envelope that brought people out on the streets; and it was the people on the streets that decided what the military would do, with some goading from the political provocateurs; and people power itself was short-circuited when the Supreme Court was convinced to weigh in rather than have the people end up besieging the Palace<\/a>.<\/p>\n

An OFW from Hong Kong<\/a> compares the latest round of cheating allegations to a bad dream that won’t go away.<\/p>\n

baratillo books cinema@cubao<\/a> tackles three things: ABS-CBN’s effective legal smothering of the Wowowee stampede fallout; contending views on Solita Monsod; and whether pro- and con-Cha-Cha are two sides of an uninspiring coin.<\/p>\n

Mamutong<\/a> takes a gander at explaining just what, exactly, recent news about Meralco is all about.<\/p>\n

atty-at-work<\/a> on the first Philippine expedition to Mount Everest.<\/p>\n

New Economist<\/a> on an article that asks, is France ungovernable? Last Sunday, Sylvia Mayuga<\/a> posed a question asked by an overseas Filipino: is the Philippines even a country?<\/p>\n

Click Mo Mukha Mo<\/a> says the Jollibee in San Francisco has improved a bit.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Technorati Tags: constitution<\/a>, people’s initiative<\/a>, Philippines<\/a>, politics<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n