{"id":11392,"date":"2021-06-02T12:46:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-02T04:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.quezon.ph\/?p=11392"},"modified":"2022-03-15T17:53:26","modified_gmt":"2022-03-15T09:53:26","slug":"the-great-fear-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.quezon.ph\/2021\/06\/02\/the-great-fear-2\/","title":{"rendered":"The Long View: The Great Fear"},"content":{"rendered":"
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THE LONG VIEW<\/div>\n
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The Great Fear<\/h1>\n<\/hgroup>\n
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By: Manuel L. Quezon III<\/a> – @inquirerdotnet<\/a><\/div>\n
Philippine Daily Inquirer<\/a> \/ 04:04 AM June 02, 2021<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Three interesting pictures appeared online yesterday. The first featured masked police and other officials signing an agreement to implement the President\u2019s pandemic-related threat to remove local officials who allow large gatherings. The second photo showed Cebu Gov. Gwen Garcia kowtowing to the President in one of the Palace guest houses, signaling her pleading for mercy, after the Palace diverted all Cebu-bound flights to Manila, on a pandemic-related basis. The third photo showed the Speaker on a pilgrimage to Davao, to present Mayor Sara Duterte with a picture of herself, decorated with the Speaker\u2019s name.<\/p>\n

The first and second photos tell us that where administrations increasingly became lame ducks in the past, resulting in more and more political players being able to ignore them with impunity the closer election day came, this administration will retain a powerful and undebatable reason for compelling obedience: With all local governments, sooner or later, hamstrung by the pandemic, it will be easy for the President or his people to instantly punish LGUs that don\u2019t play ball. The third photo reminds us that in Cebu, two days ago, a lynching took place. The victim of the lynching was Sen. Manny Pacquiao, who tried to stop a gathering that turned out to have two main purposes: to pass a resolution praising the President\u2019s handling of the pandemic, and to beg the President to run for vice president \u2014 and to pick who should run for president.<\/p>\n

To be sure, the Palace, which gave its go-ahead for the Cebu lynching presided over by Energy Secretary Alfonso Cusi, says Pacquiao is still party president; but in Cebu, Cusi had called for the party to expel Pacquio for anti-Cusi behavior, while other party members pointed out a leadership election is scheduled for July 17. This, incidentally, brings us close to the date for the President\u2019s last State of the Nation Address, traditional swan song time for presidents.<\/p>\n

When does a president become a lame duck? In the past, all this meant was yet more proof of the endurance of what passes for the democratic cycle in our country: The ticks and parasites of today, grown fat, fall off, replaced by the aspiring ticks and parasites of tomorrow. But this was no ordinary infestation. It has left the body politic particularly weak; a Great Fear has set in.<\/p>\n

The \u201cGreat Fear\u201d was paranoia in rural areas, as a political crisis engulfed France in 1789, caused by rumors that the king, bandits, merchants, or what have you, were going to swoop down on farmers to take their grain. The farmers formed militias; urban residents panicked. The government panicked.<\/p>\n

There, is, I think, a Great Fear of a kind stalking our land now: from policemen to members of the Cabinet, from political appointees who swarmed Metro Manila only to discover government doesn\u2019t pay as well or provide as many perks as they\u2019d hoped \u2014 and who are only now getting the hang of things \u2014 to the President, his family, and lieutenants: What if? What if the noose tightens with regard to the International Criminal Court? What if the adulation of today is like the adulation of yesterday: time-bound, and thus temporary? What if the intimidation of today gives way to a clamor for revenge tomorrow?<\/p>\n

But this is a different presidency. First, as I mentioned above, the pandemic gives the President tremendous powers to wield against local blocs and groups\u2014consider that aside from his recent pandemic-related threats, this most bloodthirsty of chief executives recently expressed how shocked\u2014shocked!\u2014he was over killings in the Visayas. Puzzling, until you realize these are killings in places where he is politically weak, and where he could be politically stronger if he pins it on local chief executives.<\/p>\n

Second, not since 1986 has a president gone into the twilight of his term with so many accomplices wondering how they\u2019d prosper under a change of management. There is an incentive, particularly on the part of the police, to prevent regime change. The same police mandated to implement a zero-tolerance policy against LGUs that commit pandemic-related lapses. There is a third reason: The administration, more than its potential replacements, understands what presidential elections have been about since 1992: obtaining a winning minority, and not a majority.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n