A new majority

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The last few weeks have been like a time warp. i remember when I visited Lucena in August, Atty. Sonny Pulgar described to me how even local politics had changed, reflecting national attitudes that have been obvious for some time. He said that the old era of the stump speech and the miting de avance, on a provincial level, was gone. Why would families want to sit through boring speeches, when they could watch teleseryes on TV? The era of the miting de avance predated the concept of TV prime time, and so, even in provincial elections, people preferred to decide on candidates according to their ads, while candidates looking for support had to go house to house, retail on the most minute scale.

But it seems the last bastion of traditional politics is the baranggay. I had’t encountered marching bands and the whole panoply of traditional campaigns in 2004 or 2007 (May), but the last couple of weeks had the old trappings on display. Bands banging away, processions, posters, streamers… Over the weekend, as the photo above shows in my baranggay, processions became quite elaborate: the tricycle procession I snapped above was followed by a procession of Mercedes-Benzes and vans, all sporting blue balloons.

Saturday, too, featured a round-the-clock battle of the bands, with drums and xlyophones, literally on the hour, every hour, from morning till evening. As I said, I saw similar bands in all sorts of baranggays, rich and poor, in the metropolis.

I don’t know if I agree with Blog@AWBHoldings who thinks the problem is keeping baranggay elections nonpartisan. The problem, it seems to me, is that everyone knows the baranggay is the bedrock of party politics, and you might as well remove the bogus effort to keep it nonpartisan and make it partisan within effective limits.

The effect of today’s baranggay election will be to entrench the ruling coalition.

Anyway, on to the national scene.

Estrada is now to the opposition what FVR is to the ruling coalition -a decoration, a receding symbol of past mistakes but not a key to a better future or an obstacle to more meaningful change.

Meanwhile, as yesterday’s Inquirer editorial put it, we are an even more deeply divided nation, and that the pardon was an act of political suicide, as today’s Inquirer editorial puts it. While Amando Doronila thinks pretty much the same thing:

The President’s strategists had thought that by removing Estrada from the picture, the pardon would allow her to rebuild her defenses that were crumbling under the pressures of corruption scandals over the broadband contract with the Chinese telecommunication company, ZTE Corp., and the cash payoff to congressmen and governors to bribe them into killing new impeachment complaints against her.

The ZTE deal has opened a dangerous rift between Ms Arroyo and Speaker Jose de Venecia, whose son, Jose de Venecia III, has denounced the President’s husband, Jose Miguel Arroyo, for intervening in the deal by telling him to back off from pressing his bid to review the contract.

This rift has opened cracks on the façade of the Lakas-led coalition in the House of Representatives. De Venecia can no longer be depended upon to rally the numbers to kill new impeachment moves. There are also plots to unseat him as Speaker…

The opposition members in the House, including Rep. Ronaldo Zamora of San Juan, are treating new impeachment complaints on the strength of the evidence backing these. They are not taking cues from Estrada and, Zamora has said, his fellow opposition would not be influenced by the pardon. The impeachment threat remains.

There are no tectonic shifts in alliances in the House as a result of the pardon. It cannot save the President from a crumbling coalition. She gained nothing but more scorn.

(in light of the above, see JDV seen as on brink of ouster: Showdown expected next week)

My column today, The price of power, is almost entirely based on an earlier entry on this blog, except for this updated part:

What happens next? A free man, Estrada is now just another ex-president. He can begin investing, quite heavily, in the political futures of his sons. However, his starring role is at an end. His allies among the political leaders must now attend to their own futures, because Estrada now belongs to the past. Jejomar Binay is now the true leader of the traditional political opposition.

And as for the President, it’s back to the War Room because so many other fights still need to be fought, and any relief she obtains always proves increasingly temporary.

To those who were at Edsa Dos, but who wouldn’t budge in 2005 and 2006, and who are suddenly filled with outrage over Ms Arroyo pardoning Estrada, what did you expect? You made this not only possible, but inevitable. Edsa Dos was not betrayed by this pardon, it was betrayed when the President tried to steal the 2004 election, when she refused to be held accountable by means of the impeachment process, and when she very nearly imposed martial law in 2006 but was foiled by Nonong Cruz. I am glad you now see what others saw–years ago.

To be sure, these thoughts aren’t unique, as discussed by the razor-sharp Placeholder:

True, because of Civil Society groups’ protest activities, just like the human body, our Society may run a fever, but it would be foolish to mistake the fever itself as the problem and lash out and make fun of these groups as Geo and like-minded members of the Philippine Middle Class have done. Now it’s their turn to wake up and smell the coffee. They (and we) are now reaping the rewards of such expediency. We have now arrived at a point where the State, which is supposed to protect our way of life, can no longer be excluded from the list of prime suspects*.

Or as observed by Ricky Carandang:

After all, Estrada was the only president since 1965 whose election to the presidency was not marred by accusations of electoral cheating. And despite his ouster in the 2001 coup de etat that history calls EDSA 2, he remains generally popular…more popular in fact than the woman who ousted him from office and took his place.

But there were few protests when the Sandiganbayan convicted him. I believe this is because despite the affection that people felt for him, they generally believed that the verdict was fair.

This is also the reason why I believe so many people are angry over the pardon. Lawyers who helped prosecute Estrada say that the six years of effort showed that despite all the shortcomings of the justice system, in this one instance, the system actually worked. The pardon undermined that message. The elites and middle classes who showed up for EDSA 2 to help oust Estrada and stood behind Arroyo despite Hello Garci, ZTE, extrajudicial killings, cash in paper bags being handed out to politicians, charter change, EVAT, and all her other sins, could always fall on Estrada’s guilt as a rationalization for their apathy. The pardon has removed that excuse and now those that will continue to stand by her after this have to find a new reason to continue supporting her. Someone told me that allowing Estrada to be convicted was the only good thing Arroyo ever did for this country and now she undid it.

The prospects opening up, however, are expressed best of all by Ang Tambayan ni Paeng, who pens an open letter to the President:

Thank you, Madam President, for taking the ghost of Joseph Estrada off our shoulders. For so long, we in the anti-GMA camp had to suffer the blanket label of being pro-Erap in our actions. Now, we can oppose your unconstitutional actions without being accused of being “mga bayaran ni Wristband.” Now, we can call for your resignation without being asked “Bakit, gusto mong ibalik uli sa kapangyarihan si Erap?”

Thank you, Madam President, for giving us the opportunity to clean the ranks of the opposition. Finally, we will get to see who is really fighting the principled fight and who is fighting for the control over the sharing of the spoils. Finally, we can purge from our ranks the corrupt people who’d like to impeach you for your rape of the government coffers, the martial law agents who’d like to impeach you for your human rights violations, and the vote-buyers who’d like to impeach you for saying hello to Garci.

Thank you, Madam President, for vindicating our fight against the 2004 movement to vote for the lesser evil. You have shown that there’s no point in toppling an administration ran by a corrupt gambler if we’re just going to just replace it by an administration ran by a lying and cheating thief. The fight against the forces of evil can only be won by fighting with the forces of good. To think otherwise is sheer idiocy.

Thank you, Madam President, for slapping the faces of the middle force who supported you for the sake of “moving on” despite your numerous crimes to the country. What a tragic irony it is to see their favorite whipping boy Erap now freely partying in Polk Street upon command of their anointed savior. What a tragic irony it is that by chanting the mantra of moving on, the country took a step back in the fight against plunder, corruption and bad governance.

Thank you, Madam President, for uniting behind your administration the Estradas, the Marcoses, your various kaKAMPIs and cronies, and the other forces fighting for the preservation of the corrupt status quo. Now, the battle lines are clearly drawn. And it is time for the true opposition who believes in the fight for genuine societal change to unite and take the fight to your door. Tama na, sobra na, palitan na…KAYONG LAHAT!

As The Philippine Experience further explains, critics of Edsa Dos miss the point:

The elite, they call us. Me, rich? I am another member of the working class who tries his best to feed his family. No, I don’t own a newspaper like Niñez does, I’m a lowly blogger who does not even have his own domain.

The people I went to EDSA with back in 2001 were ordinary folks. I saw countless individuals who obviously were not well-off. Sure there were the rich group but I could tell that they are a very small group. I did not see dole-outs but I did see people just like me who shared the little food we brought along. There were no catering trucks that handed out mineral water and food in Styrofoam containers. Even the old balut vendor I stood beside “gave” away his balut for free.

I went to EDSA not to install Gloria but to show my disgust at how the numbers game was played in Erap’s impeachment. I too am appalled by the same situation in GMA’s last two impeachments were the majority relied on their numbers to dump the impeachment complaint. Aside from being one with those who denounced his way of running the country, there was a personal side to why I joined EDSA 2. I had to teach my kids that we all have to make a stand sometime in our lives. If the people who joined EDSA were rich, they wouldn’t be working during the day and then going to EDSA after work. Maybe the Tribune did not notice how thin the crowds were during the day only to swell in the afternoon and into the night.

I laugh at how the Tribune’s editorial pointed to different groups and lumping them into one box. Calling EDSA 3 the revolt of the masses is quite incorrect. EDSA 3 showed us how the poor can be easily manipulated by the rich. It showed us how the elite can exploit the suffering of the poor to their advantage. The Tribune should look at itself and those who see Erap as an aggrieved party and examine themselves closely.

Erap’s undoing was his own. The private prosecutors found evidence to link him to the crime for which he was charged. He was acquitted of those he obviously did not commit. I too defended him against the obvious injustices this administration handed him. Maybe the Tribune has to understand what morality and justice is. The editorial was quite reckless in its opinion. I am not a member of the Black and White movement. I must agree though that certain personalities were accommodated by the UNO but that is to put some credibility to their slate. UNO cannot claim that these personalities were forced upon them. If UNO stuck to their favored candidates, I doubt if those would match up to who GMA had.

Page 111
In Hungry Enough to Devour a President, Sylvia Mayuga ties the threads of the past with the unraveling ties that bind the administration to power:

Point is: the Republic of the Philippines is not starting from scratch. It won a victory for people empowerment at a very high price after 20 long years under Marcos, the way Manuel L. Quezon and the independence movement won back our sovereignty in 1946, the way the Katipunan decided to take the plunge for revolution in 1896…

…A panorama of recent history — for that is all it is in the life of a mystical race with all its faults — emerges now in major landmarks of a reigning Kapampangan queen’s dismal failure to become a President of all Filipinos. If Inday, our bookworm OFW domestic, called these landmarks “major blocks to Filipino evolution erected by a pushy, super-competitive Filipina without sufficient self-knowledge, and for her own regressive psycho-historical reasons,” I would agree.

As A Jaspitz’s World puts it,

GMA mentioned in her speech, when she announced the pardon, that part of her legacy agenda is healing the wounds of EDSA 1, 2 and 3. If she could only be honest for once, she should have admitted that the pardon was intended to preempt an EDSA 4. She knew that all the previous EDSAs were simply a numbers game. By buying the Erap crowd with the highly-praised executive pardon, GMA was effectively betting that she could already afford to play Russian roulette with House Speaker Jose de Venecia III (JDV) and the still silent middle-class.

Torn & Frayed thinks Estrada lost out:

Erap was guilty of criminal acts, but that’s not why he ended up in the dock. He was deposed, tried, and convicted as much for his criminal stupidity as for his plunder.

As Erap’s supporters have said repeatedly over the last seven years “why just Erap?” I think that is a reasonable question. Erap’s crimes were probably no worse than those committed under the present administration, but he lost out in a political power play. The fact that he had been so careless, decadent, and profligate was a convenient way of justifying his ouster but I don’t think it was the main reason he went.

If Erap had spent less time boozing and more time building his coalition, he would have sailed through to 2004 without any bother. As it was, being a typical mummy’s boy and surrounded by sycophants in the palace, almost to the end he was convinced everyone loved him. He paid for that complacency for the next seven years.

As Machievelli observed, it is better to be feared than loved.

smoke thinks Estrada has made a net gain:

It’s a chess game. Well, sort of. Maybe a Greek drama or something. Anyway, Gloria was threatening checkmate with the conviction.

Estrada – the black king – moves into a more vulnerable position which, while it increases the possibility of a checkmate, also brings to bear a threat from an intrepid black knight and a coterie of pawns – the Erap rabble and its leaders.

Gloria is flustered and withdraws the threat from the black king in order to shore up her weak side against the black knight and pawns. All without realizing that the newly liberated black king – by diverting the buck-toothed queen’s attention – has managed to bring up his other troops on the other side. An enfilade in the offing. Mate in three or less – years.

the bystander is more cautious:

By asking for pardon, Erap in effect has recognized the legitimacy of the Arroyo presidency. Not only that, his role as the de facto leader of the opposition is now highly suspect. I doubt if he or even his sons Jinggoy and JV will still have the nerve to criticize Mrs. Arroyo the way they used to.

And because of the perception that Erap has struck a deal with the administration, this will ultimately lead to the break-up of the loose coalition of anti-Arroyo forces composed of former pro-Gloria civil society, religious and militant groups on the one hand and the pro-Erap group on the other. If that happens, then Gloria will definitely have the last laugh.

As always, let me point to Mon Casiple as a sure-footed guide to these contending ideas:

GMA wants to have a political hold on Estrada even after the grant of a pardon, thereby preempting possible revenge in the post-GMA period. The GMA camp wants a conditional pardon restricting Estrada from running in 2010. The nightmare here is an Estrada presidency avenging itself on its former vice-president, EDSA 2 nemesis, accuser, arrestor, jailor, and political judge.

What broke the impasse? Two things happened almost at the same time that, I think, opened the door to a hasty request for a presidential pardon and an equally hasty granting of it.

Estrada saw a failed motion for reconsideration and a Supreme Court sitting on his appeal, continued incarceration amid a political transition, and possible irrelevancy in the nation’s favorite game of politics. GMA, for her part, saw the first signs of a ruling coalition self-destructing, the specter of a successful impeachment, and the inexorable march towards a lameduck presidency.

GMA has only three options facing her in the waning days of her power: to reconcile with the opposition and agree on the rules for the post-GMA period (particularly on guarantees for her survival), to gamble and exact the same guarantees from presidentiable(s), or to maneuver to extend her term.

She tried the first option on her terms–it failed. She tried to play off the presidentiables against each other–they unified against her. She tried redoing the Cha-cha caper–she is failing. The political battlefield is littered with her various bungled initiatives. The strategy that saved her so far was the creation of diversionary issues marked by a cynical use of the short attention span of the mass media.

However, the clock ticks, and having ticked, moves on. Today, she stands in the endgame, with threats of a checkmate from within and outside her defenses. Her trusted people–one by one–had already left or are ravaged by time and the political war. The window of opportunity for a favorable outcome to her crisis–or even a merely survivable one–is fast closing.

The Estrada pardon is a decisive political stroke but its effectiveness is diminished by it being a forced move. It is also an ambiguous signal, indicating either a reinforcement of depleted political ranks or a genuine gesture of reconciliation. GMA has to do more to extricate from a closing attack and clearly signal her intentions–by undertaking specific actions for political reforms that can unite the body politic for the post-GMA period. Or embark on a perilous gambit that only a Marcos dared use before.

New Philippine Revolution takes a reading of the public pulse:

I believe at this time, the accounting of forces have already been made and both camps know their true strength. The question is–will we see a change of government this November?

Observation on the online petition

Based on a reading of the People’s Pulse, this online petition will amount to nothing. The people does’nt want a snap elections. Its a waste of time and money. What they support though, is a caretaker government. The concept of a caretaker government seems to resonate loudly among the people and I believe that should this happen, it will be supported by the people.

The caretaker government should rule this country until 2010. By that time, everything would have calmed down and a new constitution would have been in place. That’s the way to go. The only question is–are these forces really determined to go all out against Arroyo? We will see in the coming weeks.

Interesting entries, too, in theraveneffect, in My Point… Exactly! and Mad Musings of a Matabang Mama from Muntinlupa.

Relevant readings, from the West and the East: The Rockefellers and the Angry Commoners discusses how the millionaires of America’s Gilded Age staved off class warfare.

Blogger History Unfolding expresses dismay over how American politics seems incapable of heading off disaster:

Last fall’s election certainly seemed to show that the country had turned against the Bush Administration and most of its works, but the Republicans have bizarrely managed to remain on the offensive and the Democrats seem to cower more every week. The Mukasey confirmation hearings present the latest and perhaps most dramatic challenge to the Democracy (as it used to be called): the Senate is now called upon to confirm a new Attorney General who claims absolute executive power in time of war, and if they do so–as it seems they surely will–it will amount to an admission that Presidents may in fact establish a modified dictatorship if it suits them. The drumbeat for war against Iran continues, and the President’s CHIP veto has been sustained. Even more alarming, however, is the tenor of the debates among the two sets of Presidential candidates.

How so? Well, our Constitution has in effect been suspended, we may face an impending economic catastrophe, and we have destroyed the postwar world order that our parents spent half a century building up, all under President Bush. Yet the Republican candidates are projecting more self-confidence and self-assuredness than the Democrats! One hears no more talk of them distancing themselves from the President–they are falling all over each other (and this includes Rudy Giuliani) promising that they will out-Bush Bush. They are ready to attack Iran and foresake the UN, to make Bush’s tax cuts permanent, appoint yet more extreme right wing judges and make all the Bush tax cuts permanent. So vehement are they that I will be genuinely surprised if the eventual nominee makes a real move towards the center in the general election. Meanwhile, on the other side of the fence, the Democrats are once again failing to articulate any broadly different foreign policy (even though Obama has made a few tentative steps in that direction), and the front runner, Senator Clinton, seems eager to pursue the confrontation with Iran, if her vote on the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is any indication. Perhaps the electorate still wants the most muscular foreign policy possible and an abridgment of civil liberties to fight terror because it sense how detested we have become around the world–a sad commentary, if true, on the Republican capacity for turning policy failure into political success.

Another article, Resign, Retire, Renounce, ponders what the American military should do, if Bush embarks on a lunatic war with Iran; King Duck Goes to His Taiwanese Reward shows how Taiwan’s Kuomintang is weaning itself away from its mafia connections (see Hong Kong’s market collapse of 20 years ago is worth recalling during the present turmoil for an insight into how governments bail out businesses).

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Manuel L. Quezon III.

152 thoughts on “A new majority

  1. cvj, abe,

    I agree. The Erap jokes contributed significantly to the impression that his incompetence was an embarassment as well as the demise of our economy…

  2. abe, i think there’s more to it than that. estrada came from the upper class, the intense dislike the upper class and the middle have for him seems to me something else: they hate him because he’s a class traitor.

  3. cvj,abe,ram,
    I also concur, ERAP is just like a suitor, a boyfriend a future son-in-law that just cannot be accepted by the parents (the elite).

  4. while it’s understandable that many among the current gma “supporters” in the elitist civil society and business sector, as well as clergy, are enraged and threaten to join the “opposition”, it is still very doubtful that gma could be removed and replaced before 2010, for the following two considerations: (a) for as long as the leftists/communists and other extremists are too visible and vociferous, if not totally dominating or controlling, any such “movement” is doomed; and (2) for as long as the opposition cannot offer an acceptable, competent, politically viable alternative to gma, any attempt to oust her will surely fail.

    About the (2) point: I’ve said this before, of course there are “competent, politically viable alternatives” to GMA. Is our nation so wretched and pathetic that we can still claim that the best person to lead our country is a lying, cheating, stealing, abusive, power-hungry, morally-bankrupt illegitimate president who has largely lost the public trust a long time ago? C’mon naman. And “acceptable” to who? You? The middle class? Big business? Shouldn’t it be acceptable to the people-at-large? That’s why I agree with Senator Trillanes, Columnist de Quiros, and others (B&W Movement?) who have proposed snap elections before. Let the people choose their leader in a credible, democratic manner.

  5. while it’s understandable that many among the current gma “supporters” in the elitist civil society and business sector, as well as clergy, are enraged and threaten to join the “opposition”, it is still very doubtful that gma could be removed and replaced before 2010, for the following two considerations: (a) for as long as the leftists/communists and other extremists are too visible and vociferous, if not totally dominating or controlling, any such “movement” is doomed; and (2) for as long as the opposition cannot offer an acceptable, competent, politically viable alternative to gma, any attempt to oust her will surely fail.

    About the (2) point: I’ve said this before, of course there are “competent, politically viable alternatives” to GMA. Is our nation so wretched and pathetic that we can still claim that the best person to lead our country is a lying, cheating, stealing, abusive, power-hungry, morally-bankrupt illegitimate president who has largely lost the public trust a long time ago? C’mon naman. And “acceptable” to who? You? The middle class? Big business? Shouldn’t it be acceptable to the people-at-large? That’s why I agree with Senator Trillanes, Columnist de Quiros, and others (B&W Movement?) who have proposed snap elections before. Let the people choose their leader in a credible, democratic manner.

  6. MLQ, sorry for the double-posting. I forgot to include blockquotes in the first one. Request for deletion of the first one (and this comment too.) Thanks.

  7. “That’s why I agree with Senator Trillanes, Columnist de Quiros, and others (B&W Movement?) who have proposed snap elections before. Let the people choose their leader in a credible, democratic manner.’ – ay naku

    ay naku,

    I am inclined to agree with you on this but its wishful thinking. If GMA still had some shred of leadership in her, she could have opened herself for this voluntarily earlier (no insecurities) but as circumstances are developing, she’s looking more and more a “lameduck” president. It appears that its not up to her anymore but to some people around her (or some pulling her strings) that are protecting their own interests. GMA’s administration have the advantage of “legalism” on thier side so they can hide behind it like a shield while cutting the opposition to pieces. Unfortunately these “cuts” to the opposition may have more detrimental damage to her than advantages.
    I would also not want the “kahit sino huwag lang si Gloria” direction, so it is to our advantage if we deliberate carefully on the people who will replace them.

  8. 14 Filipino Presidents

    Emilio Aguinaldo
    Manuel L. Quezon
    Jose P.Laurel
    Sergio Osmeña
    Manuel A. Roxas
    Elpidio Quirino
    Ramon Magsaysay
    Carlos P. Garcia
    Diosdado Macapagal
    Ferdinand E. Marcos
    Corazon C. Aquino
    Fidel Valdez Ramos
    Joseph Estrada
    Gloria Arroyo

    Except for MLQuezon and RMagsaysay,why have they failed us?What in our flawed culture makes us elect national leaders like these people?

  9. equalizer,

    Earlier cvj, qwert, devils, and myself have been looking at deprivation of “critical thinking” skills of the electorate making them vulnerable to manipulation by the likes of Puno.

  10. equalizer,

    I stand corrected, instead of “them” its “us.” Manipulation transcends all classes and “critical thinking” is not a monopoly of any class.

  11. Ramrod,CVJ,QWERT,DevilADV8:

    Can we please continue to make noise about Jonas Burgos and the countless “Desparecidos” ?I really pity their parents and loved ones.Thanks!

  12. equalizer,

    Yes, Nemo is ok na, thanks. I brought him yesterday to Gymboree in Shangrila Plaza so he can walk/run (actually wobble is the right term) around.

  13. ay naku,

    I am inclined to agree with you on this but its wishful thinking. If GMA still had some shred of leadership in her, she could have opened herself for this voluntarily earlier (no insecurities) but as circumstances are developing, she’s looking more and more a “lameduck” president. It appears that its not up to her anymore but to some people around her (or some pulling her strings) that are protecting their own interests. GMA’s administration have the advantage of “legalism” on thier side so they can hide behind it like a shield while cutting the opposition to pieces. Unfortunately these “cuts” to the opposition may have more detrimental damage to her than advantages.
    I would also not want the “kahit sino huwag lang si Gloria” direction, so it is to our advantage if we deliberate carefully on the people who will replace them.

    Yes, maybe it’s a long shot. But I’m still inclined to support it. I mean, who knows, right? Trillanes, against all odds, was able to land a seat in the senate. Sabi nga, “you can never can tell (hehehe.)” At the very least, I believe it’s a step in the right direction.

    And it need not be a “kahit sino huwag lang si Gloria”, as I said, there are more than enough “competent, politically viable alternatives” to GMA. Of course there are no blameless saints, and it’s counter-productive (and ultimately a convenient excuse for GMA) to insist that the replacement should be one. But really, enough of the GMA administration. Enough of the cheating (“Senator” Zubiri?, let’s not forget that the administration has managed to continue their cheating ways), blatant lying, massive stealing, and abuse of power. No more excuses. Time to be brave.

  14. ay naku,

    I had a meeting yesterday with one of Manila’s prominent businessmen (over coffee) and I had a glimpse of the growing disgust of the business community to GMA’s administration (specifically GMA herself), although a lot of them do not believe in JDV3’s innocence, the impression I got was that he was not satisfied with the 10MUsd offered to him, so the “kickback” must be higher. In time, only the crony businessmen will be left with GMA, even then they can still sell her out.

    Another bad news, there’s supposed to be a “business expo” in China where there’s matching between manufacturer and buyers globally, surprisingly there are no viable Philippine entries, “we don’t have enough Philippine-made products for the global market?” What have we been doing? Are we going to depend on OFW remittances and BPOs forever? Tsk, tsk, tsk, I hope bencard and other pro GMA bloggers realize that the economic gains were more of “the Emperor’s new clothes” story.

  15. equalizer,

    re jonas burgos = 186 days missing

    Its such a shame how something like this can happen to a democratic country and a predominantly catholic one at that.

  16. mlq3:

    touché sir. there is a fair bit of migration from the provinces into the capital, which results in a population that can be characterised as a “snapshot” of the entire nation. and the rallying of a significant number of these people behind a cause has undeniable power.

    but after what i see as the disenfranchisement of the EDSA 2 crowd as a result of this pardon, what’s it going to take to muster that sort of power? i believe tha after the EDSAs think street protests are now passé, so what what form should an expression of the “vox populi” take?

    willy:

    politically, where does mike velarde stand? isn’t he a rabid administration supporter?

  17. ramrod:

    Its such a shame how something like this can happen to a democratic country and a predominantly catholic one at that.

    you forget that in the days of Padre Damaso, the Catholic Church looked away as the Spanish authorities inflicted countless abuses on our countrymen, else they committed abuses themselves.

    how much further do you think these people have gotten in all those years?

    and now these bishops are nothing but self-interested fools with their own parochial concerns and their slipping grasp on the “hearts and minds” of the people to defend.

  18. tonio,

    As the events unravel, the CBCP look more and more like modern day Pharisees. I’m beginning to think that if Jesus Christ decides to be born again and in the Philippines – these bishops will be the first to condemn him…

  19. the dystopian church-government in V for Vendetta comes to mind when i think about things now…

  20. “they hate him because he’s a class traitor.”

    Erap a class traitor? In what lifetime. I know someone who told him when he was charged and put in detention- Do a Mandela or a Gandhi. Live amongst them and dress like them. Only a leader who shares in the struggle of poverty can ever be expected to lead.

    The masses never came out on their own to fight for him. They knew exactly what they wanted from him – support.

    When did he betray his class?

    Erap could not and cannot generate real mass support to fight for substantive change. The idea that he would be a catalyst for a civil war is idiotic.

    It is sheer paranoia that rules the mind of Big Mike and GMA in their world of money based popularity contests called elections.

    The depth of consciousness of even the so called middle forces in this country as shamelessly shallow.

    A lot of the elite and middle forces in this country have been schooled and trained and are very knowledgeable but
    becoming aware and understanding which is the education part (connecting the dots) is fairly shallow. A lot of that is based on the fact that the schooling system here is based on the American system of vocational and practical courses aligned with the needs of a corporatist economic and corporate culture.

    Lawyers, accountants, marketing, economists and the rest of the professions all superbly schooled and trained but badly educated.

    Most even mix business terminology and economic terminology when there is a huge gap in trying to understand both. Business but a small part of the economy.

  21. tonio, some weeks ago i was asked to provide a kind of overview of the situation to a foreign chamber of commerce. a filipino there expressed dissatisfaction with the bishops, and i expressed the opinion that this might actually be healthy. it’s about time we didn’t entrust our political future to bishops, or preachers. it’s a healthy sign we’re left to our own secular devices on this one. it goes both ways: what doesn’t kill us also makes us stronger, even though bobi tiglao first used this neitzschean phrase to rally support for the president.

    as always, the catholic church has a mixed record on things. it was the friars, during the first plenary council of the philippines very early on during their conquista, who determined that (gasp!) indios had souls, and also decreed that there could be no slavery in the new colony. and the archbishop of manila refused to defrock frs. gomez, burgos, and zamora. but then they also killed all hope for reform and didn’t begin their political rehabilitation until the 1950s.

  22. (a) for as long as the leftists/communists and other extremists are too visible and vociferous, if not totally dominating or controlling, any such “movement” is doomed; and (2) for as long as the opposition cannot offer an acceptable, competent, politically viable alternative to gma, any attempt to oust her will surely fail. – bencard

    After reading Bencard’s comments for quite some time and inferring his age, background, profession, and maturity (psychologically) I have come to the conclusion that he has very accurate powers of observation, and although he is apparently on the GMA side of the fence, the opposition may do well to listen and learn from what he has to say/write. Like in judo, you don’t oppose the force of your opponent, you make it work for you…

    (a)His comment on the effect of leftists/communist dominating the opposition scene is correct. The upper class (influential businessmen mostly) and most of the middle class, or those with so much to lose will always distance themselves from “raving communists.” Why not “demystify” this group? Let them talk in the open, let us try to understand what they want? Is it “world dominance” really or are they just like you and I, people asking for justice, transparency, fair distribution of wealth, or upholding human rights? If we make this unreasonable fear/phobia of the label “communist” or “leftist” and probably erase it from our vocabulary and lok at this people as mere Filipinos, we could avoid being divided by a classification fo hatred and fear.

    (b)An acceptable, viable, alternative to GMA. Its also correct. Its high time we come out with names, backgrounds, look at potential leaders, eligibles, and filter them according to set standards we are looking for in a president.

    Although I believe it should be more, I guess we can start with these two, support will not only trickle but will deluge the opposition. As it is, we don’t see any concrete solutions, or actionable ones, people cannot support concepts or abstractions but something/someone they can see, hear, touch, and relate to…

  23. hvrds, my point is, the upper and middle class considers him a class traitor, the masses appreciate this and they like him for it. it is also the reason why much middle and upper class support for the president can be boiled down to three reasons:

    1. she knows how to use the cutlery, and speaks not only english but spanish.
    2. her sins are committed with a greater sense of discretion than her immediate predecessor.
    3. her hand-picked constitutional successor has neither of these advantages, and so serves to keep her in place.

    and which is why, the “outrage” over the pardon is more about her ignoring form and not about the substance, because if you dealt with substance you would neither be surprised nor particularly offended by what the president did, it was what she wanted to do from day one.

  24. mlq3:

    agreed on that point. i think it’s actually good that the church keeping out of the political arena. (with exceptions in the case of Fr. Ed of course)

    in political life, as in many other things, Filipinos should really learn to look to nowhere else but themselves and just quit being taken in by the next “smooth talker” that comes along.

  25. (b)An acceptable, viable, alternative to GMA. Its also correct. Its high time we come out with names, backgrounds, look at potential leaders, eligibles, and filter them according to set standards we are looking for in a president.

    Actually this has has already been done many many times before. One of the links MLQ posted here before:
    tristancafe.com/forum/42417

    There are many other such discussions. I’ll see if I can dig them up.

  26. When one talks class traitor one talks in the sense of class consciousness.

    The problems with the masa is simple. They have not been formed into a solid class structure. Subsistence peasants and migratory subsistence fisherfolk form the largest group of the lower classes. Then you have the househelp. What about the families of the OFW’s? This is an entirely new group.

    Class consciousness and class distinction is unclear for most of these people. For them anyone riding in a car is rich.

    Gandhi’s way of organizng the poor was revolutionary. It was not the proletariat that he organized. He organized the lowest of the low- the untouchables by ratifying their existenceas as human beings.

    They would have gladly died for him and they did. The elite shunned him as they truly considered him a traitor to his caste. That is part of the reason he was assasinated.

    India’s lagging behind China is mainly because they did resolve the tenancy issues in their agricultural sector. India’s caste system will always prevent India from catching up with China.

    China abolished it and transformed their peasants into farmers.

    The factors surrounding the failure of Philippine society is precisely that. We not only have a lumpen proletariat but we have a lumpen peasantry. Why just look at the elite. They have not evolved together with large swaths of the Catholic church. Aumpen soceity in the 21st century.

    The gap here amongst the people who should know and their counterparts in other countries is planetary in scope and size.

    The revolutionary change if it happens at all will come from the right. The left lost their chances.

    The neo-colonial aspect of the culture here is tough to break.

    That change if it happens at all will be from external forces as the entire system and structure of the country is mainatined by externalities. We do not control our destiny.

    Look even economists of the highest caliber debate the economic discipline on narrow and broad terms.

    Class consciousness is the same.

    Economists Debate Value of their own Nobel Award

    http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/10/19/business/nobel.php

  27. Correction

    “India’s lagging behind China is mainly because they did not resolve the tenancy issues in their agricultural sector. India’s caste system will always prevent India from catching up with China”

  28. hvrds:

    the commies were too class conscious themselves. parang nahiya to tangle with the bourgeoisie they supposedly despise. all they can manage is to bomb a few globe celsites. where’s the revolution in that?

    of course their “spiritual” leader Joma lives a life of relative luxury abroad, peddling his defunct ideologies.

    i agree with you, the commies blew it.

    but do you expect these heavily entrenched elites to think of anyone other than themselves?

    the hope of the country lies in the expansion and critical education of a middle class that is unafraid to go against the Establishment and is willing to help the marginalized bridge the gap.

  29. tonio, you are of course talking about the local Commies. Their counterparts in China and Vietnam who are in government seem to have done better.

  30. “re jonas burgos = 186 days missing

    Its such a shame how something like this can happen to a democratic country and a predominantly catholic one at that.ramrod”

    It’s deja vu. Way back in 1980s, student activists and peasants were routinely abducted by armed men for denouncing the conjugal dictatorship.Never to be found again.The “Desparecidos”(the missing ones).

    Jonas Burgos remains a “desparecido”.

    Are we heading in the same direction as in the dark days of the Marcos dictatorship?

  31. Equalizer, as far as Cardinal Rosales is concerned, the abduction of Jonas Burgos is one of those “specks” that could not compare with what happened during the Marcos era.

  32. on Erap, Gloria and the elite, couldit be that they are just being proactive that why they alwys win over the masa and the middle class? Thst is as far as protecting their class….

    BTW I also consider bencard a stand as pro active.

  33. CVJ:Wait till the favorite “sacristan” gets abducted and becomes a “desparecido”!

    ONE DAY THEY CAME
    One day they came and they took the Communists
    And I said nothing because I was not a Communist
    Then one day they came and they took the student activists
    And I said nothing because my son was not a student activist
    One day they came and they took Jonas Burgos
    And I said nothing because he was not part of my family
    One day they bombed Ayala mall
    And I said nothing because no one from my family got hurt
    Then one day they came and they took me
    And I could say nothing because I was as guilty as they were
    For not speaking out and saying that all men have a right to freedom!

  34. on Erap, Gloria and the elite, couldit be that they are just being proactive that why they alwys win over the masa and the middle class? Thst is as far as protecting their class…. – Rego

    Rego, i think Karl Marx would agree with your assessment. Anyway, as far as i remember, i don’t think Stephen Covey endorsed being proactive in doing evil, but then again it’s been a while since i attended that 7 Habits Course.

  35. Ramrod,

    With regard to your number 1: “The upper class (influential businessmen mostly) and most of the middle class, or those with so much to lose will always distance themselves from “raving communists.” Why not “demystify” this group? Let them talk in the open, let us try to understand what they want?”, I think you will find that the demistification of the group has been in earnest eversince Gloria linked hands with them in 2001. Beyond that, I believe they also have been speaking out quite openly too not only in the halls of the Lower House but also everywhere else.

    Now, if you mean raving communists that are found in the boondocks, perhaps, the first thing to do is to hold off the our own AFP commie hunters to allow these folks to come down. An invitation in proper and good faith am sure can also help do the trick but again, government hunters must back off to make that happen.

  36. I believe ultimately that military solution to solving the communist problem in RP is not always the best solution.

    General Templar defeated a much more determined and bloodier communist insurgency in Malaya with his “winning of hearts and minds” doctrine which was part of his military strategy.

  37. speaking of lack of “critical thinking” ability, the best and glaring example is the apparently overwhelming support in this blog for candidate trillianes for senator. how can seemingly articulate and educated people vote for the guy and help make him a useless senator, a living insult to pinoy voters next only to the election of estrada as president in 1997?

    voting for a candidate mostly on the basis of his/her position on current issues, e.g., the perceived illegitimacy of the incumbent, without regard to the candidate’s competence and integrity or lack of them, is a common pitfall. i think it’s time filipinos use their head instead of their heart to elect their leaders. we need leaders who can lead, not be loved or idolized.

  38. watchful eye on, “Everyone thought, everyone including international observers, what transpired was an “ouster” except those “outstanding justices” and save of course Davide and Panganiban during “such critical time.”

    That is the difference between those who are real judges and those think they can judge. Smile.

  39. mlq3 on, ” i expressed the opinion that this might actually be healthy. it’s about time we didn’t entrust our political future to bishops, or preachers. it’s a healthy sign we’re left to our own secular devices on this one.”

    That is a very good sign indeed. This is the one that should be addressed a long time ago. A country so small but home to 97 million people. There is not enough resources to support such growing population (education, healthcare, jobs and housing). And the bishops should be made to pay for the cost of servicing population growth if they campaign against population control. That would stop pulpit bullying.

  40. “voting for a candidate mostly on the basis of his/her position on current issues, e.g., the perceived illegitimacy of the incumbent, without regard to the candidate’s competence and integrity or lack of them, is a common pitfall. i think it’s time filipinos use their head instead of their heart to elect their leaders. we need leaders who can lead, not be loved or idolized.” – bencard

    Bencard, people have always found “uncompromising men” charismatic, thats why we have “heroes” we look up to people who we think can save us and before you can win their minds you have to start with the hearts. Unfortunately, it mostly stops with the heart, as you can see “critical thinking” is like common sense, its not common to everybody.
    It will take a massive overhall of the educational system to elevate the electorate to be “critical thinkers” as our own educational system is flawed. Rote memorization is still the method used most especially public schools and a rating of 69% is already considered high in “achievement tests” in the elementary or what could probably be viewed also as “high school aptitude tests.” I have a friend who sends his child to public school here and I chanced upon him doing his math assignment, he was still doing fractions, by contrast, another friend who’s kid was in private school (6th grader) was already doing linear equations in one unknown (or solve for x). So you cannot really blame the people as a whole, what you can do though is offer to help…

  41. “I think you will find that the demistification of the group has been in earnest eversince Gloria linked hands with them in 2001. Beyond that, I believe they also have been speaking out quite openly too not only in the halls of the Lower House but also everywhere else.” – mbw

    What I mean is to let them speak in the proper forums, allow them to lay out what they want, open these to questions if they are reasonable or not? Are they really for “world domination?” Is their “cause” not compatible to economic development and good governance? As far as my exposure to this so called communists are concerned, they have been seen or are vocal only in demonstrations, pickets (KMU), GMA used them to help her topple Erap, all showing them as “vociferous,” anarchic, and downright dangerous. In fact, I’m scared of them because of how they are portrayed. I don’t know if the landscape changed in 24 years but I was with the LFS a long time ago and I believe they have some reasonable goals, its just that we normally see them angry and shouting all the time. Maybe there are times they are sober and not snarling and foaming in the mouth? The government has long painted these people as murdering bandits and anarchic loudmouths it makes me suspicious already. I have never subscribed to classifying Filipinos into “hate groups” like leftists, rightists, Islamists, or Noranians. We are all Filipinos…

  42. “i don’t think Stephen Covey endorsed being proactive in doing evil,” – cvj

    I agree, as the 7 habits are based on universal principles or principle based living (integrity, honor, etc.) It encourages win/win, or looking for a third alternative where everyone wins.
    It also espouses “abundance mentality” or there is enough to go around so theres no need to be greedy. Neither GMA nor Erap are proactive, manipulative is an appropriate term…

  43. i see your point, ramrod. i remember one of my law professors, the late cj roberto concepcion who taught me constitutional law. he was not so much interested on whether we know what the law says as whether we know the reason for it. he was interested in our articulation more than the correctness of our position according to the letter of a given law. as i grow in maturity, i see more and more the wisdom of his approach since most legal or constitutional provisions are not cast in stone while right reason endures for all time.

  44. re: Stephen Covey 7 habits.

    Somehow if you are talking of timeless principles of effectiveness, the big question mark is, should that be used as criteria against the leaders, or it should be applied to own personal habit examining your own effectiveness?

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